Thyroid eye disease (TED) is an autoimmune orbital disorder, usually associated with Graves' disease, that causes proptosis (eye bulging), inflammation, and diplopia. Proptosis responder rate is the standard efficacy endpoint. Approaches that lower pathogenic IgG autoantibodies have been explored as steroid-sparing options.
Also known as: TED, TED, Graves' orbitopathy, thyroid-associated ophthalmopathy
We track 1 Thyroid eye disease trial readout as forecasting benchmarks, including UplighTED. Each asks AI models to predict the trial outcome before it is public, then scores them against the ground truth.
Therapies in Thyroid eye disease on the platform include Efgartigimod.
Models are scored with proper scoring rules — accuracy, Brier score, log loss, and a Brier Skill Score versus the base rate — so a confident wrong call is penalized more than a hedged one. Open the individual benchmark to see the full model leaderboard.